Over and over again for the past 6 days I've heard that the American people have spoken and they hate Democrats, love Republicans, want to repeal health care reform, think Sarah Palin is great and want tax cuts for the top 2% of wage earners. If you don't agree with it, you just don't "get it." In the Post today, EJ Dionne takes a look at just who the American people were last Tuesday. It's a good read, and we'll expound on it.
First, I would point out that all we really learned last Tuesday is that old white people don't like Democrats. To which I respond, well no shit. That is nothing new. Democrats don't do well amongst the crackers. Especially not older conservative ones. That's just how it is.
Even amongst this older, whiter and more conservative electorate though, there were interesting numbers...
- 35% of voters blame Wall Street for current economic conditions. Amongst those, somehow 56% voted Republican. I guess they figure Wall Street deserves more tax cuts? 29% blamed W. 23% blame Obama.
- 48% want to repeal the Health Care bill. 47% want to keep it or expand it. Clearly, they have spoken?
-50% of the vote came from the suburbs... and there you go.
-45% voted for McCain. 45% Voted for Obama.
-Finally, to the "independents" that we've been hearing about. Republicans won the "independent" vote 55-40. Amongst those "independents" 51% voted for McCain, while 42% voted for Obama. Obama won independents by 8 points in '08.
So, Evil, what's the point? My point is when Republicans make up the electorate, Republicans win. If the electorate is made up of old white McCain voters then Dems will have a hard time. I doubt that will happen in 2012. If it does it would be a record low turnout. We'll see though.
My other point is that Republicans may very well overplay their hand. If they believe what they are saying, then they will. Most Americans still don't believe in what they are saying. Hell, even in this conservative electorate a majority is not for repeal of Health Care Reform. My hope is that Obama stands strong on the tax cuts and the GOP repeatedly tries to repeal Health Care Reform. I doubt either will happen.
2 comments:
all good points, but am i looking out an airplane window now on your blog? i feel like someone just took me up 30,000 ft and turned off the seatbelt sign ;)
Oh, the seatbelt sign is still on. Turbulence ahead.
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